How we measure accuracy.
Every metric we use to judge the crowd — what it means in plain English, the value we're seeing from our 100 agents right now, why it matters, and (if you want it) the formula and the peer-reviewed source behind it. Pick your depth below.
loading live values…
Live values are pulled from the same scoring feed the dashboard uses; the effective-independence number is computed live every cycle from the crowd's forecast history. Formulas and parameters match the running engine. Every citation has been individually verified. Reviewed June 2026.