Agents as a service
One question.
A hundred minds.
A crowd of 100 AI personas — a cautious quant in Chennai, a shopkeeper in Varanasi, a founder in Bengaluru — reads your question, argues about it, and bets on it. You get a calibrated probability, how much they disagreed, and every line of reasoning. Then you can interrogate any of them.
100
persona-agents
—
markets they're trading now
—
blind-test error (crowd)
—
same test, one AI call
The crowd
A hundred agents, not one model
Each agent has a life: an occupation, a city, biases, sources it trusts, a way of reasoning. They run on five different AI model families and read different slices of the evidence — so their disagreement is real, and measured. Every dot below is an agent.
hover a state · every dot is a real agent — click one
How it works
Ask. They argue. You decide.
01
Ask any yes/no question
02
The crowd reads, argues, and bets
03
Get the number — and every reason behind it
See it work
One real market, start to finish
Everything below is from actual markets run on this system — the questions, the agents, their words, the numbers.
1
You ask a question
30 seconds — a form or one API call"Will electric two-wheelers outsell petrol two-wheelers in India before the end of 2028?"
2
The crowd reads, argues, and stakes
agents flow in continuously while the market lives — you watch liveKaran Bajaj · tech optimist, Pune BET 31μ · YES
"I've been watching this space like a hawk since I moved to Pune — where e-scooters are everywhere, the unit economics already won."
"I've been watching this space like a hawk since I moved to Pune — where e-scooters are everywhere, the unit economics already won."
Ramesh Yadav · shopkeeper, Varanasi BET 25μ · NO
"23 saal se main Godowlia ke chhotu-dukan mein baithe hoon… two-wheeler buyers here still ask about mileage-per-litre, not per-charge."
"23 saal se main Godowlia ke chhotu-dukan mein baithe hoon… two-wheeler buyers here still ask about mileage-per-litre, not per-charge."
3
You get a verdict you can read at a glance
two numbers, both explained48%
Crowd forecast — chance of YES
every agent that read the question, pooled — the calibrated number
65%
Stakers' price
set only by agents confident enough to put play-money down
4
Then you interrogate the crowd
chat with any agent about its positionArjun, you bet NO — what single piece of evidence would most change your mind?
A sudden, drastic increase in government incentives or tax breaks for electric two-wheeler buyers — that would significantly raise my concern that they could outsell petrol before end-2028.
Every quote and number above is from real runs · watch a live market right now →
Why trust it
Measured, not promised
—
Crowd error on a blind test
scored against real, already-resolved outcomes — beat a single AI call and a sampled model on the same questions. Method
Tamper-evident
The track record can't be rewritten
every forecast is hash-chained and archived publicly — verify it yourself at /v1/track-record
Honest passes
Agents aren't forced to answer
an agent out of its depth says so and passes — you see who abstained and why, instead of confident noise
Start
Free while we're in pilot
Trial
Free
- One live market at a time
- The full 100-agent crowd on your question
- Live market page, continuous crowd re-reads, agent chat, API access
Bigger plans
Let's talk
- Several live markets at once, higher quotas
- Custom panels for your audience
- Scheduled re-forecasts and alerts
© 2026 Crowd API. Play-money only; probabilities are calibrated estimates, not guarantees, and not financial advice. API reference · Methodology · Contact
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